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Well, it's a short week with the Thursday night game, so I'm going to be a little short with the comments. I'll make sure to be back un usual form by next week.

Picks appear in bold.

Denver (+3) at Cleveland
I know the Broncos have been playing poorly recently, but they have a perfect storm of fortune here. First, the Browns decided to make a change at quarterback, which isn't an indictment of Brady Quinn, but it doesn't help when you're trying to save your season. Second, they do it during a short week.

Jacksonville (-6) at Detroit
The Jags haven't done anything recently that makes me feel comfortable about this game, but the Lions have done even less. However, Detroit's defense giving up almost 162 rushing yards per game is what tilts the scales.

Baltimore at Houston (PK)
Even though the Ravens are a better team, I'm taking the Texans for a couple of reasons. One, Houston is a completely different team at home where they're 3-1 and can offensively dominate teams. And two, Chris McAllister going down for the year will not help while trying to cover Andre Johnson and one of the most underrated receiving corps in the league.

Seattle at Miami (-8)
The Seahawks have had to travel to the Eastern time zone three times this year and have lost by a combined total of 98-26. 'Nuff said.

St. Louis at New York Jets (-8)
The Jets have been a perfect example of this year's NFL - they're extremely inconsistent. But, as we've seen throughout the season, the Rams are just a completely different team without Steven Jackson.

Tennessee (-2.5) at Chicago
I don't really understand this line. You have one of the more physical defenses in the league that can pressure the passer from any position, as well as stop the run, going up against Rex Grossman.

Green Bay (+2.5) at Minnesota
Both teams are 2-1 in their last three, but that's where the comparison ends. The Vikings were lucky to come out with home wins against Detroit and Houston and looked terrible against Chicago. On the other hand, the Packers looked great in beating the Colts and giving the Titans all that they could handle.

New Orleans (+1) at Atlanta
For me, this is the most difficult game of the week. I like the way the Falcons are playing, but I just don't think they have the horses to keep it going. At the same time, I keep waiting for the Saints to turn it around, but it just hasn't happened. In most close games though, I go with the quarterback I trust most.

Buffalo at New England (-3.5)
As most of you know, I'm very high on the Bills and their development, but they've slipped recently in losing three of their last four. Conversely, slowly but surely Matt Cassel is starting to get more comfortable with the system and the Pats are relying more on their running game.

Carolina (-8.5) at Oakland
For the rest of the season, I'm just going to bet against the Raiders - whatever the spread, whoever the opponent.

Indianapolis at Pittsburgh (-3)
With so many key injuries (Willie Parker, Marvel Smith, Heath Miller, and LaMarr Woodley will not play), it's hard to go with the Steelers, but I just can't forget how they physically dominated the Redskins last week.

Kansas City (+15.5) at San Diego
As bad as the Chiefs are, this should be a no-brainer. Unfortunately, I simply don't trust the Chargers. They refuse to play up to their potential and with the Steelers and Colts coming up, I can definitely see them looking past Kansas City.

New York Giants (+3) at Philadelphia
Offensively or defensively, no team is playing better that the Giants right now. Even with the Eagles winning three in a row, I just can't go against Big Blue.

San Francisco at Arizona (-9)
Sorry Mike Singletary, but it's definitely going to get worse before it gets better.

Last Week: 8-6
Season: 66-62-2